KCL GPRIS is launching a new product, the Risk-O-Meter. This is a new way for KCL GPRIS to analyse risk. The following blog post will explain the Risk-O-Meter.

If you have any thoughts or feedback on the Risk-O-Meter, please feel free to send us an email. 

What is the GPRIS Risk-O-Meter?

The Risk-O-Meter is a new way for GPRIS to grade risk. 

Why create the GPRIS Risk-O-Meter?

As a student-led society, our goal is to produce high-quality geopolitical risk analysis. We believe the Risk-O-Meter is a strong tool because it:

  1. Closely aligns us to industry. We have been aligning GPRIS more closely to industry since 2019 with the publication of our first annual Risk Report. January 2021 will see the third publication of our Risk Report. We see the GPRIS Risk-O-Meter as the next natural step to bring us further in line with industry practice. 
  2. Expanding our offering. We are always looking for new ways to make our society unique and exciting. The GPRIS Risk-O-Meter is the newest way in which we are achieving this, and it will add value to each piece that we publish.
  3. Enhancing analysis. The use of the GPRIS Risk-O-Meter will not only increase the quality and depth of our analysis by distilling major factors into a single integer, but it will also aid those seeking to generate a multi-factorial analysis across a large data set, such as content on our blog, or in our Special Reports. This will help with temporal and regional comparisons across our publications.

How is the GPRIS Risk-O-Meter score calculated, and who calculates it?

The GPRIS Risk-O-Meter produces a score out of 15. As a general rule-of-thumb, the greater the score, the greater the risk. We have tried to keep the framework simple, and so we have sought to reduce the number of categories within each factor. 

Our contributors will decide on what score they wish to give to the risk-in-question. They will use their understanding of the risk-in-question to produce a score, backed up with data they have analysed where possible.

Of course, this score will be best-fit and is based solely on contributors’ understanding of a risk. We are a student-led society and so therefore have limited access to many of the tools used by firms in the industry.

The following matrix details the framework used:

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The meaning of each score is explained below:

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How might the Risk-O-Meter appear in our publications?

The Risk-O-Meter might appear in graph-format, as below, or stated as a score out of 15.

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How will we use the Risk-O-Meter?

The Risk-O-Meter is a tool to aid analysis. You can expect to see the Risk-O-Meter in of our written content – Special Reports, blog posts and Risk Reports. 

Please kindly note that the Risk-O-Meter is for education and student analytical purposes only. A Risk-O-Meter score or any discussion in likeness to the Risk-O-Meter does not constitute any form of advice or recommendation, financial or otherwise.